1J. ChaseWR · vs BAL · 8:15 ET
Over 62.5 rec yds
Madness meter88
Player props · 4 leagues · seeded daily at 9am ET
Every prop
gets a seed.
We run the slate like a bracket. Every player prop on the board gets a 1 through 16 seed — 1s are the props our model won't shut up about, 16s are live dogs worth a buck. You fill out your bracket. We show the receipts.
FREE 1-SEED EVERY DAY · NO LOCKS, NO GUARANTEES · CANCEL WHENEVER
Prop battle · tonightLocks in 2h 14m
1J. Chase — Over 62.5 rec ydsWR · heavy target share · soft coverage matchup−115DK
VS
12J. Gibbs — Any time TDRB · primary goal-line back+140FD
Wednesday · 11 games · 214 props scanned
Tonight's top seeds
Top of the bracket only. The full 214-prop board, plus line shopping across five books, sits behind the wall.
2T. SkubalSP · vs ATL · 7:05 ET
Over 6.5 strikeouts
Madness meter81
5C. ClarkPG · vs CON · 7:30 ET
Under 28.5 P+R+A
Madness meter64
The one thing to understand
What a seed means
A seed is edge, not vibes. It's how far our projection sits from the book's number, adjusted for how sharp that book is on that specific market.
1–4
The chalk
Biggest gap between our number and the book's. Bet these flat. If you only play three props a night, play these.
5–8
Quiet edges
Real value, no hype. The ones the timeline never posts about — which is usually why the line hasn't moved yet.
9–12
Correlation plays
Thin alone, stronger stacked. We show which legs actually pair instead of letting you build a 9-leg heater and pray.
13–16
Live dogs
Longshots with a real path. Small units only. Tracked separately so they never flatter the record.
Same three steps every night
How a night works
1
9am — board drops
Every prop we can price gets a projection, a book comparison, and a seed. You get a push when your leagues post.
2
All day — you fill your bracket
Tail what you like, fade what you don't. Each pick is timestamped and logged at the odds you saw.
3
Morning — auto-graded
Everything grades overnight against final box scores. Units update, streaks update, nothing gets quietly deleted.
Graded, not claimed
The receipts
No record posted yet
We don't publish numbers we haven't earned. Grading starts with the first public board, and every unit — up or down — posts here automatically from that day forward.
Public, permanent, no deleting Ls
The bracket board
Every pick you tail is logged the second it locks. Units, not “record.” Cold streaks stay up.
The board opens with the first slate
Nobody is ranked yet. Handles appear here once they have 50 graded picks, at the prices they actually took.
Straight answers
Fair questions
Are 1-seeds guaranteed?
No. Nothing here is. A 1-seed means the gap between our projection and the book's number is the biggest on the board — that's an edge, not a promise. Play them long enough for the math to show up, and size your bets so a cold week doesn't matter.
What's the Madness meter?
A 0–100 score combining projection gap, line movement since open, and how sharp that book is on that specific market. Above 80 is where the 1s and 2s live.
Do you delete losing picks?
Can't. Every seed is timestamped when it posts and graded automatically. Full history is public, including the months we got cooked.
Which leagues?
MLB and WNBA all summer, NFL and college football once they kick off. Player props only — no spreads, no totals, no parlays sold as locks.
Fill out your bracket.
A free 1-seed drops every morning at 9am ET. No card to look, no calls, no “DM me for the play.”